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IK3IUL

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Inserito il - 06/09/2017 : 20:27:21
ATTESA FORTE TEMPESTA MAGNETCA SCALA G 3 NELLE PROSSIME 24 ORE. ERUZIONI SOLARI ASSOCIATE A EIEZIONE MASSA CORONALE.(PLASMA). TEMPESTA MAGNETICA. TENIAMO CONTROLLATO ALONE AURORALE E BZ. E SOPRATTUTTO D ABSORPTION.....dove arrivano solo PROTONI.(Gli UV si fermano prima a quote maggiori e durante la transizione (tra begin time e end time). 20.38 UTC X ray=C 4.6 3,6 PROTONI SU CM..quadro,al sec e su ster( metro cubo) = 3.6 PFU (density). QUESTE LE REGIONO ATTIVE: :Product: Solar Region Summary :Issued: 2017 Sep 06 0030 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary SRS Number 249 Issued at 0030Z on 06 Sep 2017 Report compiled from data received at SWO on 05 Sep I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 05/2400Z Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type 2673 S09W30 119 0880 Dkc 09 33 Beta-Gamma-Delta 2674 N14W14 103 0680 Fhi 19 23 Beta 2675 S07W82 171 0010 Bxo 05 01 Beta 2676 S09W76 165 0030 Bxo 07 02 Beta 2677 N18E39 050 0020 Axx 01 01 Alpha 2678 N11E45 044 0010 Bxo 04 02 Beta IA. H-alpha Plages without Spots. Locations Valid at 05/2400Z Sep Nmbr Location Lo None II. Regions Due to Return 06 Sep to 08 Sep Nmbr Lat Lo 2671 N14 320 ALLEGO NOAA ALERT DIRETTAMENTE DA IONO PROBE. :Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity :Issued: 2017 Sep 05 2200 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast SDF Number 248 Issued at 2200Z on 05 Sep 2017 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 04/2100Z to 05/2100Z: Solar activity has been at high levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M4 event observed at 05/0108Z. There are currently 6 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be moderate with a chance for X-class flares on days one, two, and three (06 Sep, 07 Sep, 08 Sep). IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 04/2100Z to 05/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to minor storm levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 629 km/s at 05/0140Z. Total IMF reached 8 nT at 04/2145Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at 04/2207Z. Protons greater than 10 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 210 pfu at 05/1930Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 3776 pfu. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at unsettled to severe storm levels on day one (06 Sep), active to severe storm levels on day two (07 Sep) and unsettled to active levels on day three (08 Sep). Protons are expected to cross threshold on day one (06 Sep), are likely to cross threshold on day two (07 Sep) and have a slight chance of crossing threshold on day three (08 Sep). III. Event probabilities 06 Sep-08 Sep Class M 75/75/75 Class X 25/25/25 Proton 99/70/15 PCAF red IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 05 Sep 121 Predicted 06 Sep-08 Sep 120/115/115 90 Day Mean 05 Sep 079 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 04 Sep 016/017 Estimated Afr/Ap 05 Sep 010/012 Predicted Afr/Ap 06 Sep-08 Sep 022/040-026/048-020/022 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 06 Sep-08 Sep A. Middle Latitudes Active 15/15/35 Minor Storm 40/35/15 Major-severe storm 45/50/01 B. High Latitudes Active 01/15/15 Minor Storm 10/35/20 Major-severe storm 90/45/20 ALLEGO NOAA ALERT: :Product: SWPC Space Weather Alerts ALTS.txt :Issued: 2017 Sep 06 1805 UTC # Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # See http://swpc.noaa.gov/alerts/ for description and other displays # Send comments and suggestions to SWPC.Webmaster@noaa.gov # # SWPC Space Weather Alerts Issued in the last 24 hours #--------------------------------------------------------------------- Space Weather Message Code: ALTTP4 Serial Number: 541 Issue Time: 2017 Sep 06 1800 UTC ALERT: Type IV Radio Emission Begin Time: 2017 Sep 06 1733 UTC www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation Description: Type IV emissions occur in association with major eruptions on the sun and are typically associated with strong coronal mass ejections and solar radiation storms. #------------------------------------------------- Space Weather Message Code: WARPC0 Serial Number: 81 Issue Time: 2017 Sep 06 1302 UTC WARNING: Proton 100MeV Integral Flux above 1pfu expected Valid From: 2017 Sep 06 1305 UTC Valid To: 2017 Sep 06 2359 UTC Warning Condition: Onset www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation Potential Impacts: An enhancement in the energetic portion of the solar radiation spectrum may indicate increased biological risk to astronauts or passengers and crew in high latitude, high altitude flights. Additionally, energetic particles may represent an increased risk to all satellite systems susceptible to single event effects. This information should be used in conjunction with the current Solar Radiation Storm conditions when assessing overall impact. #------------------------------------------------- Space Weather Message Code: SUMX01 Serial Number: 115 Issue Time: 2017 Sep 06 1245 UTC SUMMARY: X-ray Event exceeded X1 Begin Time: 2017 Sep 06 1153 UTC Maximum Time: 2017 Sep 06 1202 UTC End Time: 2017 Sep 06 1210 UTC X-ray Class: X9.3 NOAA Scale: R3 - Strong Comment: Source was Region 2673 www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation Potential Impacts: Area of impact consists of large portions of the sunlit side of Earth, strongest at the sub-solar point. Radio - Wide area blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication for about an hour. #------------------------------------------------- Space Weather Message Code: ALTTP2 Serial Number: 1058 Issue Time: 2017 Sep 06 1212 UTC ALERT: Type II Radio Emission Begin Time: 2017 Sep 06 1202 UTC Estimated Velocity: 1969 km/s www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event. #------------------------------------------------- Space Weather Message Code: ALTTP4 Serial Number: 540 Issue Time: 2017 Sep 06 1210 UTC ALERT: Type IV Radio Emission Begin Time: 2017 Sep 06 1201 UTC www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation Description: Type IV emissions occur in association with major eruptions on the sun and are typically associated with strong coronal mass ejections and solar radiation storms. #------------------------------------------------- Space Weather Message Code: SUM10R Serial Number: 697 Issue Time: 2017 Sep 06 1209 UTC SUMMARY: 10cm Radio Burst Begin Time: 2017 Sep 06 1154 UTC Maximum Time: 2017 Sep 06 1156 UTC End Time: 2017 Sep 06 1157 UTC Duration: 3 minutes Peak Flux: 12000 sfu Latest Penticton Noon Flux: 121 sfu www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation Description: A 10cm radio burst indicates that the electromagnetic burst associated with a solar flare at the 10cm wavelength was double or greater than the initial 10cm radio background. This can be indicative of significant radio noise in association with a solar flare. This noise is generally short-lived but can cause interference for sensitive receivers including radar, GPS, and satellite communications. #------------------------------------------------- Space Weather Message Code: ALTXMF Serial Number: 269 Issue Time: 2017 Sep 06 1200 UTC ALERT: X-Ray Flux exceeded M5 Threshold Reached: 2017 Sep 06 1156 UTC NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth. Extent of blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication dependent upon current X-ray Flux intensity. For real-time information on affected area and expected duration please see http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d...ctions-d-rap. #------------------------------------------------- Space Weather Message Code: SUMX01 Serial Number: 114 Issue Time: 2017 Sep 06 1008 UTC SUMMARY: X-ray Event exceeded X1 Begin Time: 2017 Sep 06 0848 UTC Maximum Time: 2017 Sep 06 0910 UTC End Time: 2017 Sep 06 0959 UTC X-ray Class: X2.2 Optical Class: 2b Location: S08W33 NOAA Scale: R3 - Strong www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation Potential Impacts: Area of impact consists of large portions of the sunlit side of Earth, strongest at the sub-solar point. Radio - Wide area blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication for about an hour. #------------------------------------------------- Space Weather Message Code: SUM10R Serial Number: 696 Issue Time: 2017 Sep 06 0934 UTC SUMMARY: 10cm Radio Burst Begin Time: 2017 Sep 06 0903 UTC Maximum Time: 2017 Sep 06 0904 UTC End Time: 2017 Sep 06 0909 UTC Duration: 6 minutes Peak Flux: 459 sfu Latest Penticton Noon Flux: 121 sfu www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation Description: A 10cm radio burst indicates that the electromagnetic burst associated with a solar flare at the 10cm wavelength was double or greater than the initial 10cm radio background. This can be indicative of significant radio noise in association with a solar flare. This noise is generally short-lived but can cause interference for sensitive receivers including radar, GPS, and satellite communications. #------------------------------------------------- Space Weather Message Code: ALTXMF Serial Number: 268 Issue Time: 2017 Sep 06 0912 UTC ALERT: X-Ray Flux exceeded M5 Threshold Reached: 2017 Sep 06 0904 UTC NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth. Extent of blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication dependent upon current X-ray Flux intensity. For real-time information on affected area and expected duration please see http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d...ctions-d-rap. #------------------------------------------------- Space Weather Message Code: SUMPX2 Serial Number: 40 Issue Time: 2017 Sep 06 0620 UTC SUMMARY: Proton Event 10MeV Integral Flux exceeded 100pfu Begin Time: 2017 Sep 05 0715 UTC Maximum Time: 2017 Sep 05 1930 UTC End Time: 2017 Sep 05 2350 UTC Maximum 10MeV Flux: 210 pfu NOAA Scale: S2 - Moderate Comment: Greater than 10MeV @ 10pfu (S1-Minor) event remains in effect. www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation #------------------------------------------------- Space Weather Message Code: ALTEF3 Serial Number: 2655 Issue Time: 2017 Sep 06 0501 UTC CONTINUED ALERT: Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu Continuation of Serial Number: 2654 Begin Time: 2017 Sep 01 1350 UTC Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 3777 pfu www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems. #------------------------------------------------- Space Weather Message Code: WARPX1 Serial Number: 464 Issue Time: 2017 Sep 05 2139 UTC EXTENDED WARNING: Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected Extension to Serial Number: 463 Valid From: 2017 Sep 05 0030 UTC Now Valid Until: 2017 Sep 07 0400 UTC Warning Condition: persistence Predicted NOAA Scale: S2 - Moderate www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation Potential Impacts: Radio - Minor impacts on polar HF (high frequency) radio propagation resulting in fades at lower frequencies. #------------------------------------------------- RIEPILOGO :Product: Solar and Geophysical Activity Summary :Issued: 2017 Sep 06 0245 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Solar and Geophysical Activity Summary SGAS Number 249 Issued at 0245Z on 06 Sep 2017 This report is compiled from data received at SWO on 05 Sep A. Energetic Events Begin Max End Rgn Loc Xray Op 245MHz 10cm Sweep 0103 0108 0111 2673 M4.2 0342 0351 0404 2673 M1.0 0433 0453 0507 2673 M3.2 IV 0633 0640 0643 2673 M3.8 0730 0730 0731 1900 0741 0741 0741 120 0744 0749 0751 340 0756 0756 0756 340 0802 0802 0803 170 0802 0802 0802 120 0805 0805 0805 170 0947 0950 0956 180 1013 1019 1025 2673 C5.4 200 1056 1056 1057 140 1408 1418 1453 2673 S09W22 Sf 700 1737 1743 1751 2673 S09W24 M2.3 1n 1811 1813 1814 800 1839 1839 1839 910 2111 2112 2116 2673 S07W32 Sf 150 2118 2118 2118 310 2312 2313 2313 120 2315 2316 2316 150 B. Proton Events: The greater than 10 MeV proton flux reached moderate levels with a peak flux of 210 pfu at 05/1930 UTC. C. Geomagnetic Activity Summary: The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. D. Stratwarm: Not Available E. Daily Indices: (real-time preliminary/estimated values) 10 cm 121 SSN 122 Afr/Ap 011/011 X-ray Background C1.2 Daily Proton Fluence (flux accumulation over 24 hrs) GT 1 MeV 1.1e+09 GT 10 MeV 8.0e+06 p/(cm2-ster-day) (GOES-13 satellite synchronous orbit W75 degrees) Daily Electron Fluence GT 2 MeV 1.50e+08 e/(cm2-ster-day) (GOES-13 satellite synchronous orbit W75 degrees) 3 Hour K-indices: Boulder 3 3 3 2 3 3 3 1 Planetary 3 3 2 2 2 2 3 2 F. Comments: None
Modificato da - IK3IUL in Data 06/09/2017 23:31:36


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